Kentucky
W-L: (28-27) PR = 93.7289Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Miami (OH) MA ( 7- 7, 94.1) 8- 7 206 H Loyola Chicago A10 ( 1-11, 87.9) 5- 3 207 A Loyola Chicago A10 ( 1-11, 87.9) 7- 0 207 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 3- 4 208 A Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 8- 0 210 A UC San Diego BW ( 9-18, 90.4) 10- 2 212 A Cal State Fullerton BW (10-11, 94.8) 2- 6 212 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 11- 7 213 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 1- 7 214 H Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 0- 9 218 A Murray State MV ( 2- 7, 89.9) 4- 2 220 A North Carolina A&T CA ( 1- 2, 87.3) 5- 0 220 A Northern Illinois MA ( 2- 7, 89.2) 11- 0 221 H Bradley MV ( 1- 6, 89.3) 7- 3 221 A Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 7- 1 222 H Indiana State MV ( 1- 8, 88.3) 8- 0 227 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 10- 2 227 H Dayton A10 ( 1- 8, 87.7) 5- 1 228 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 6- 1 228 H Dayton A10 ( 1- 8, 87.7) 9- 0 301 H Murray State MV ( 2- 7, 89.9) 8- 0 301 H Murray State MV ( 2- 7, 89.9) 8- 0 304 H IUPUI HL ( 0- 9, 86.5) 9- 1 306 A Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 8- 3 307 A Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 2- 6 307 A Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 5- 6 313 H Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 2-10 314 H Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 0- 9 315 H Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 0- 9 318 A Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 9- 2 320 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 2-10 321 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 1- 7 322 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 6- 9 324 H Bellarmine ASUN ( 1- 4, 88.6) 3- 1 325 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 7- 8 327 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 2- 4 328 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 1- 0 329 H Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 0- 5 331 A Miami (OH) MA ( 7- 7, 94.1) 1- 0 402 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 2-10 403 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 1- 9 404 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 2-12 407 H Eastern Kentucky ASUN ( 4-11, 90.2) 5- 2 408 H Morehead State OV ( 0- 2, 89.4) 7- 0 411 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 0- 5 412 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 0- 6 413 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 3-10 415 A Northern Kentucky HL ( 0- 6, 88.0) 6- 0 417 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 9 418 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 4- 5 419 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 4 422 A Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 12- 8 424 H Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 2-12 425 H Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 1- 6 426 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 2- 2 505 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 3- 4
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Miami (OH) 8- 7 1 0 0.58
206 H Loyola Chicago 5- 3 2 7 -- -4.55
207 A Loyola Chicago 7- 0 7 5 1.93
207 A San Diego State 3- 4 -1 1 -1.74
208 A Minnesota 8- 0 8 2 +++ 6.21
210 A UC San Diego 10- 2 8 3 ++ 5.42
212 A Cal State Fullerton 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.16
212 A Stanford 11- 7 4 -3 +++ 7.34
213 A Stanford 1- 7 -6 -3 - -2.66
214 H Oregon 0- 9 -9 -2 --- -6.97
218 A Murray State 4- 2 2 3 -1.05
220 A North Carolina A&T 5- 0 5 6 -0.70
220 A Northern Illinois 11- 0 11 4 +++ 7.25
221 H Bradley 7- 3 4 5 -1.18
221 A Memphis 7- 1 6 4 + 2.47
222 H Indiana State 8- 0 8 6 1.83
227 H Michigan State 10- 2 8 4 ++ 4.11
227 H Dayton 5- 1 4 7 - -2.74
228 H Michigan State 6- 1 5 4 1.11
228 H Dayton 9- 0 9 7 + 2.26
301 H Murray State 8- 0 8 5 + 3.47
301 H Murray State 8- 0 8 5 + 3.47
304 H IUPUI 9- 1 8 8 0.02
306 A Auburn 8- 3 5 -2 +++ 6.77
307 A Auburn 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.23
307 A Auburn 5- 6 -1 -2 0.77
313 H Florida 2-10 -8 -3 -- -4.78
314 H Florida 0- 9 -9 -3 -- -5.78
315 H Florida 0- 9 -9 -3 -- -5.78
318 A Houston 9- 2 7 2 ++ 5.12
320 A Texas A&M 2-10 -8 -4 -- -4.20
321 A Texas A&M 1- 7 -6 -4 - -2.20
322 A Texas A&M 6- 9 -3 -4 0.80
324 H Bellarmine 3- 1 2 6 - -3.89
325 H Louisville 7- 8 -1 -1 0.08
327 A Oregon 2- 4 -2 -4 1.51
329 H Georgia 0- 5 -5 -3 -1.78
402 A Oklahoma 2-10 -8 -7 -1.09
403 A Oklahoma 1- 9 -8 -7 -1.09
404 A Oklahoma 2-12 -10 -7 - -3.09
407 H Eastern Kentucky 5- 2 3 4 -1.27
408 H Morehead State 7- 0 7 5 1.97
411 H Tennessee 0- 5 -5 -2 - -2.56
412 H Tennessee 0- 6 -6 -2 - -3.56
413 H Tennessee 3-10 -7 -2 -- -4.56
415 A Northern Kentucky 6- 0 6 5 1.03
417 A Alabama 0- 9 -9 -6 - -2.85
418 A Alabama 4- 5 -1 -6 ++ 5.15
419 A Alabama 0- 4 -4 -6 + 2.15
422 A Louisville 12- 8 4 -3 +++ 6.57
424 H Texas 2-12 -10 -4 -- -5.52
425 H Texas 1- 6 -5 -4 -0.52
426 A UNLV 2- 2 0 1 -1.48
505 A Mississippi State 3- 4 -1 -4 + 2.54
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Oregon 0- 9 -9 -2 --- -6.97 206 H Loyola Chicago 5- 3 2 7 -- -4.55 313 H Florida 2-10 -8 -3 -- -4.78 314 H Florida 0- 9 -9 -3 -- -5.78 315 H Florida 0- 9 -9 -3 -- -5.78 320 A Texas A&M 2-10 -8 -4 -- -4.20 413 H Tennessee 3-10 -7 -2 -- -4.56 424 H Texas 2-12 -10 -4 -- -5.52 212 A Cal State Fullerton 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.16 213 A Stanford 1- 7 -6 -3 - -2.66 227 H Dayton 5- 1 4 7 - -2.74 307 A Auburn 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.23 321 A Texas A&M 1- 7 -6 -4 - -2.20 324 H Bellarmine 3- 1 2 6 - -3.89 404 A Oklahoma 2-12 -10 -7 - -3.09 411 H Tennessee 0- 5 -5 -2 - -2.56 412 H Tennessee 0- 6 -6 -2 - -3.56 417 A Alabama 0- 9 -9 -6 - -2.85 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 A Minnesota 8- 0 8 2 +++ 6.21 212 A Stanford 11- 7 4 -3 +++ 7.34 220 A Northern Illinois 11- 0 11 4 +++ 7.25 306 A Auburn 8- 3 5 -2 +++ 6.77 422 A Louisville 12- 8 4 -3 +++ 6.57 210 A UC San Diego 10- 2 8 3 ++ 5.42 227 H Michigan State 10- 2 8 4 ++ 4.11 318 A Houston 9- 2 7 2 ++ 5.12 418 A Alabama 4- 5 -1 -6 ++ 5.15 221 A Memphis 7- 1 6 4 + 2.47 228 H Dayton 9- 0 9 7 + 2.26 301 H Murray State 8- 0 8 5 + 3.47 301 H Murray State 8- 0 8 5 + 3.47 419 A Alabama 0- 4 -4 -6 + 2.15 505 A Mississippi State 3- 4 -1 -4 + 2.54 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Miami (OH) ( 7- 7, 94.1) 8- 7 -5.85 13.52 -0.74 0.45 11.51
3 H Loyola Chicago ( 1-11, 87.9) 5- 3 -11.98 7.39 -0.74 0.45 5.98
3 A Loyola Chicago ( 1-11, 87.9) 7- 0 -11.98 7.39 0.74 0.45 7.32
3 A San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 3- 4 -7.65 11.72 0.74 0.45 -1.55
3 A Minnesota (16-36, 91.2) 8- 0 -8.70 10.67 0.74 0.45 10.27
3 A UC San Diego ( 9-18, 90.4) 10- 2 -9.49 9.88 0.74 0.45 9.56
3 A Cal State Full (10-11, 94.8) 2- 6 -5.08 14.29 0.74 0.45 -0.98
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 11- 7 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.45 14.89
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 1- 7 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.45 -0.64
3 H Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 0- 9 -3.40 15.97 -0.74 0.45 -0.93
3 A Murray State ( 2- 7, 89.9) 4- 2 -9.96 9.41 0.74 0.45 9.14
3 A North Carolina ( 1- 2, 87.3) 5- 0 -12.62 6.75 0.74 0.45 6.75
3 A Northern Illin ( 2- 7, 89.2) 11- 0 -10.66 8.71 0.74 0.45 8.51
3 H Bradley ( 1- 6, 89.3) 7- 3 -10.61 8.76 -0.74 0.45 7.22
3 A Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 7- 1 -10.44 8.93 0.74 0.45 8.71
3 H Indiana State ( 1- 8, 88.3) 8- 0 -11.60 7.77 -0.74 0.45 6.32
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 10- 2 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 0.45 8.38
3 H Dayton ( 1- 8, 87.7) 5- 1 -12.16 7.21 -0.74 0.45 5.82
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 6- 1 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 0.45 8.38
3 H Dayton ( 1- 8, 87.7) 9- 0 -12.16 7.21 -0.74 0.45 5.82
3 H Murray State ( 2- 7, 89.9) 8- 0 -9.96 9.41 -0.74 0.45 7.80
3 H Murray State ( 2- 7, 89.9) 8- 0 -9.96 9.41 -0.74 0.45 7.80
3 H IUPUI ( 0- 9, 86.5) 9- 1 -13.41 5.96 -0.74 0.45 4.69
3 A Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 8- 3 -5.15 14.22 0.74 0.45 13.47
3 A Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 2- 6 -5.15 14.22 0.74 0.45 -0.99
3 A Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 5- 6 -5.15 14.22 0.74 0.45 -0.99
3 H Florida (51-13, 97.7) 2-10 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 0.45 -0.66
3 H Florida (51-13, 97.7) 0- 9 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 0.45 -0.66
3 H Florida (51-13, 97.7) 0- 9 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 0.45 -0.66
3 A Houston (20-30, 91.1) 9- 2 -8.79 10.58 0.74 0.45 10.19
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 2-10 -3.12 16.25 0.74 0.45 -0.53
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 1- 7 -3.12 16.25 0.74 0.45 -0.53
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 6- 9 -3.12 16.25 0.74 0.45 -0.53
3 H Bellarmine ( 1- 4, 88.6) 3- 1 -11.32 8.05 -0.74 0.45 6.58
3 H Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 7- 8 -4.35 15.02 -0.74 0.45 -1.15
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 2- 4 -3.40 15.97 0.74 0.45 -0.60
3 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 1- 0 -9.55 9.82 0.74 0.45 9.51
3 H Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 0- 5 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 0.45 -0.66
3 A Miami (OH) ( 7- 7, 94.1) 1- 0 -5.85 13.52 0.74 0.45 12.84
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 2-10 -0.00 19.37 0.74 0.45 -0.17
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 1- 9 -0.00 19.37 0.74 0.45 -0.17
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 2-12 -0.00 19.37 0.74 0.45 -0.17
3 H Eastern Kentuc ( 4-11, 90.2) 5- 2 -9.70 9.67 -0.74 0.45 8.04
3 H Morehead State ( 0- 2, 89.4) 7- 0 -10.46 8.91 -0.74 0.45 7.35
3 H Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 0- 5 -2.99 16.38 -0.74 0.45 -0.84
3 H Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 0- 6 -2.99 16.38 -0.74 0.45 -0.84
3 H Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 3-10 -2.99 16.38 -0.74 0.45 -0.84
3 A Northern Kentu ( 0- 6, 88.0) 6- 0 -11.88 7.49 0.74 0.45 7.41
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 9 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.45 -0.00
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 4- 5 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.45 -0.00
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 4 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.45 -0.00
3 A Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 12- 8 -4.35 15.02 0.74 0.45 14.19
3 H Texas (52-13, 99.0) 2-12 -0.94 18.43 -0.74 0.45 -0.38
3 H Texas (52-13, 99.0) 1- 6 -0.94 18.43 -0.74 0.45 -0.38
3 A UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 2- 2 -8.39 10.98 0.74 0.45 0.00
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 3- 4 -3.37 16.00 0.74 0.45 -0.59
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228.00
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winning pts = 244.4619 losing points = -16.4657
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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